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Ronnie

QQQ/SPY: Early Jan Tech

The first trading days of 2026 show QQQ drifting lower, closing $613.12 (‑1.73%) on Jan 2 after a narrow range. The ETF remains below its recent peak (~$625) and sits just under the 5‑day EMA at $620.80, indicating a modest bearish bias. EMAs: 5‑day 620.

Near-Term Upside, Longer-Term Caution

Short term (1 week): Bullish * S&P 500 set a new record; breadth and tech leadership improving. * QQQ approaching breakout (needs 625.52; above 629 for confirmation), with price above key EMAs. * Low VIX (~14.9) supports risk-on flow; SPY cleared minor downtrend. * ISM services beat; Fed easing stance

The October to January Window: A Historical Warning Sign

The period from October 27th to January 18th is historically the most bullish stretch for the S&P 500. Over the last 75 years, the index has closed higher during this window 66 times (88%).

Trade What You See, Not What You Think

There's a cognitive bias that affects nearly every trader at some point: we form a hypothesis about what the market will do, and then we act on that hypothesis as if it were fact.

QQQ, SPY Dip, VIX Low

The Santa Claus rally fizzled, with QQQ and SPY posting three straight days of declines. Technical snapshot: QQQ closed 613.12 on Jan 2, slipping below its 20‑day EMA (617.15) after briefly trading above it; SPY closed 683.21, falling under its 20‑day EMA (683.87). Both

I Built a Road Conditions Monitor Using n8n

My family was planning a trip from Boise to Seattle. The day before leaving, I checked the roads and found a mess: an interstate in Oregon was completely closed, and a Washington route was shut down due to a landslide.

QQQ & SPY: 2025 Snapshot

The final week of 2025 saw both QQQ and SPY retreat modestly. QQQ opened at 621.99 on Dec 25, rallied to a high of 624.28, but closed the period at 614.31—a decline of roughly 1.5%. SPY began at 687.95, peaked at 690.83, and

2025 Market Year-in-Review

Asset ClassTicker2025 ReturnPrecious MetalsGoldGLD+63.4%SilverSLV+141.0%Equities - USS&P 500SPY+15.7%Nasdaq-100QQQ+19.4%Dow JonesDIA+12.2%Russell 2000IWM+10.5%InternationalEAFE (Developed)EFA+26.9%Emerging MarketsEEM+30.7%EuropeVGK+31.6%JapanEWJ+20.3%IndiaINDA+0.7%Bonds20Y+ TreasuryTLT-0.7%Aggregate

QQQ, SPY, VIX: Week Wrap

QQQ and SPY closed the week on a bearish note, slipping below their short‑term EMAs after a modest rally. QQQ fell from 623.9 on Dec 25 to 614.3 on Dec 31, slipping under EMA5 (618.36) and EMA9 (618.40) by the final day, while still hovering

GDP Up, Confidence Down

GDP accelerated to 4.3% in Q3, driven by consumer spending and exports, but inflation rose (PCE 2.8%, Core 2.9%). Consumer confidence fell to 89.1 in December, with present situation sentiment weakening despite stable expectations. Durable goods orders declined (-2.2%) in October, though shipments and core