Job Market Remains Stable
- Initial claims ticked up just 1,000 to 200,000 for the week ending Jan 17, well below the 212,000 economists expected
- Continuing claims dropped 26,000 to 1.849 million, still below second half 2024 averages but elevated compared to post pandemic norms
- Labor market vibe: low firing, low hiring continues — no real cooling since Q4 2025's softening
- Federal employee claims (being watched due to shutdown concerns) rose 364 to 1,010
Bottom line: the job market remains remarkably stable with no signs of significant layoffs picking up.