Ronnie

Markets

Cautious Outlook: Choppy Action, EMA Compression Ahead of Key Tests

* A false breakout attempt on Feb 25 (close above 610) reversed by Feb 26–27, highlighting resistance near 615–616. * EMA alignment remains flat-to-slightly bearish: EMA5 > EMA9 > EMA20 > EMA50, but all converging tightly — signaling potential for a directional breakout soon. * Volume and breadth were mixed;

Markets

Cautious Outlook: Range-Bound with Weakness in Tech & Banks

* QQQ closed Friday at 607.41, failing to reclaim 610—a key mental and technical hurdle cited in recent journal entries. * SPY closed at 685.99, failing to sustain gains above EMA50 (687.09) and showing weak technical leadership from Financials and Tech Hardware. * VIX rose to 19.86 (from

Markets

Bullish Breakout Setup Looming for QQQ

QQQ closed above key resistance at 610 on 2026-02-25, closing at 616.42 after a strong rally that recouped prior week’s losses—suggesting a potential three-wave pullback-to-rally pattern. EMA alignment remains flat across EMAs 5, 9, 20, and 50 (all hovering near 609–613)

Markets

Cautious Outlook: Rangebound, Awaiting Breakout

* Price action last week (Feb 20–24) shows recovery from lows but remains choppy; February range is the narrowest in over 40 years. * VIX declined from 21.01 (Feb 23) to 19.55 (Feb 24), signaling waning volatility despite sector rotation (tech/comm services leading). * Journal notes growing optimism post–

Markets

Cautious Outlook: Rangebound with RisingVolatility

* QQQ closed below EMA5, EMA9, EMA20, and EMA50—though all EMAs remain flat (unchanged across 4 days), indicating no directional momentum shift * SPY closed back above EMA50 (686.71), and EMA20 (687.02)—the latter acting as near-term resistance * VIX rose sharply from 19.09 (Feb 20) to 21.

Markets

Cautious Outlook: Rangebound Market Awaiting Breakout

* QQQ closed at 601.41 on Feb 23, failing to reclaim EMA9 (606.14) or EMA5 (605.38), despite intraday spikes above 608. * SPY held above EMA50 (686.70), but closed below EMA20 (687.01), with momentum stuck between support (680–682) and resistance (690). * VIX declined to 19.09

Markets

Cautious Outlook Amid Stalling Momentum

* QQQ closed at 601.92 (Feb 13) and 603.47 (Feb 19), struggling to gain above 605 EMA5. * SPY held near 681–684 range, failing to break EMA20 (687.52) or reclaim 6889—an apparent near-term ceiling. * Volatility (VIX) trended lower after spiking mid-week, but remained elevated (20.

Markets

Cautious Outlook; Awaiting SPY Breakout

Stocks are showing minor losses as markets consolidate near recent levels. The SPY is trading below all its key exponential moving averages (EMA5, EMA9, EMA20, EMA50), indicating a short-term downtrend remains in place. Market sentiment is mixed, with retail investors turning slightly bearish while institutional managers are more optimistic.

Markets

Cautious Outlook Amid VIX Retreat

The market shows mixed signals after a volatile week. While the VIX has retreated from 21.20 to 20.29, indicating decreasing fear, QQQ and SPY are trading below key EMAs. Both ETFs have experienced price declines with resistance around EMA levels, suggesting ongoing pressure. The technical picture remains cautious

Markets

Cautious Outlook; Volatility Tests Support

The market showed signs of consolidation and increased volatility last week, with the SPY briefly breaking below key support levels before recovering. The index closed the period near its lows, indicating ongoing selling pressure. The VIX ticked higher, reflecting growing investor unease. Technically, the price is trading below its key

Markets

Cautious Outlook Amid Pullback

Major indices faced a noticeable downturn over the past week, pulling back from recent highs. Both the SPY and QQQ broke below key support levels, closing lower for the week. The significant drop on February 12th, accompanied by a sharp spike in the VIX, indicates a rise in market fear.

Markets

Bearish Outlook; VIX Spikes

Major indices pulled back sharply on February 12th, erasing the gains from earlier in the week. The SPY closed significantly lower after breaking below key support levels. This sell-off coincided with a notable spike in the VIX, which jumped from the 17s to over 20, indicating a sharp rise

Markets

Cautious Outlook Amid Resistance

Major indices showed resilience but struggled to make decisive moves higher last week. Both SPY and QQQ attempted to advance but faced clear resistance near their key moving averages. The SPY failed to sustain a break above its 50-day EMA, while the QQQ encountered selling pressure around its 20-

Markets

Initial Jobless 227K, expected at 222K

US jobless claims dipped slightly to 227,000 last week, still above the expected 222,000 and hovering near an eight week high. Continuing claims also ticked up to 1.86 million, with winter storms across the country largely blamed for the uptick as disrupted businesses pushed more people to

Markets

Cautious Outlook on Tech Rebound

The QQQ attempted a rebound last week after a dip below $600, but faces significant resistance near its key moving averages. The ETF closed the week at $611.25, which remains below its declining 5, 9, 20, and 50-day EMAs. This suggests the short-term trend is still under

Markets

Cautious Outlook as QQQ Tests Resistance

The QQQ showed mixed signals last week, closing at $609.65 after testing resistance around the $611-$614 level. While the index managed to recover from lows near $595, it faces significant technical hurdles with all key EMAs (5, 9, 20, and 50-day) converging in the $611-$618 range.

Markets

Americans are Searching Like It's 2008

While headline economic data often shows a resilient economy, a closer look at human behavior reveals a much more fragile reality. According to Google Trends, Americans are currently job searching at levels that echo the Great Recession, marking a significant shift in the U.S. labor market The "Low-

Markets

Cautious Outlook; Tech Resistance

The recent price action in QQQ highlights ongoing sector rotation and a challenging technical picture for Technology. After a sharp selloff earlier in the week, QQQ managed a significant rebound on Friday, February 6th, closing near the highs of the day. However, this rally faces immediate resistance near the $609-

Markets

Cautious Outlook; Tech-Lagging

The first week of February has been marked by significant volatility, particularly in the technology-heavy QQQ. After a strong start, the index sold off sharply mid-week, breaking below key support levels. While a late-week recovery pushed prices higher, QQQ failed to recoup its early-week highs. The

Markets

Indecisive - Tech Drag vs Fed Support

The market shows conflicting signals as QQQ declined 3.8% from Jan 29 to Feb 4, falling from 629.37 to 605.75. Meanwhile, SPY held relatively better, down only 1.1% to 686.19. The divergence reflects tech weakness offset by strength in financials, industrials, and consumer sectors. VIX

Markets

The Dollar's 14-Year Support Trendline

The relationship between the US Dollar (USD) and gold is currently at a critical technical juncture, as the dollar sits on the edge of a 14-to-15-year support trendline. Some indicate that this level is a "danger zone" for the currency, and its potential breakdown could

Markets

Initial Jobless Claims at 231,000

US initial jobless claims rose by 22,000 to 231,000 in the last week of January, exceeding expectations of 212,000 and reaching the highest level in nearly two months. Continuing claims also increased by 25,000 to 1.844 million. The rise was largely linked to winter storms

Markets

Bullish QQQ breakout

* QQQ surged above $630 on Jan 30, confirming a breakout from a symmetrical triangle and signaling a likely move toward $650‑$655 into late February. * SPY stayed near its recent highs (~695‑696) but lagged the tech‑driven rally. * EMAs for both ETFs remained flat, indicating a pause before the

January Summary

A balanced view of the 2026 stock market reveals a tug-of-war between strong historical momentum and emerging technical and policy risks. As of late January 2026, the S&P 500 has hit a historic milestone of 7,000 for the first time. While the near term shows

Navigating "Year 4" of the Bull Market

Why the Nasdaq Could Keep Climbing The Nasdaq Composite has shown remarkable resilience, delivering three consecutive years of gains exceeding 20% (2023: 43%, 2024: 29%, and 2025: 20%). While some investors fear the rally may be overextended, historical data and current macroeconomic conditions suggest that US large-cap tech stocks