Markets

A collection of 201 posts

Markets

Market Bounce After Trump Tariff Relief

* QQQ shows constructive bounce from 608.06 (1/20) to 620.76 (1/22), but below key 619 resistance level * SPY recovered from 677.56 to 688.73, needs to reclaim 6885-6886 area * VIX spike from 15.86 to 20.09 signals elevated volatility has subsided * Breadth improved to

Markets

Market Bounce After Trump Tariff Relief

* QQQ shows constructive bounce from 608.06 (1/20) to 620.76 (1/22), but below key 619 resistance level * SPY recovered from 677.56 to 688.73, SPX needs to reclaim 6885-6886 area * VIX spike from 15.86 to 20.09 signals elevated volatility has subsided * Breadth improved

Markets

QQQ & SPY Market Snapshot

QQQ hovered around 621–626, staying just below the key 619 – 620 EMA cluster (EMA5/9/20/50 all ~617‑618). A close above 619 would signal a potential short‑term low. SPY traded between 677‑685, with its EMAs flat near 687‑688, indicating a modest recovery after a

Markets

Market Recovery After Volatility Spike

Both SPY and QQQ have shown constructive bounces after mid-week volatility, with SPY recovering from lows near 677.56 to close around 685.40. Technical indicators suggest the recent pullback may have found support, with EMAs providing solid foundations around 684-687 for SPY and 617-619 for QQQ.

Markets

Continued QQQ Technical Weakness

QQQ shows technical weakness with price consolidation below 630 resistance. Current EMAs (5:617.37, 9:619.24, 20:619.58, 50:617.42) suggest flat momentum. SPY displays similar patterns, trading above clustered EMAs (686.90-688.38 range). Low VIX levels (15.84-16.75) mask underlying volatility

Markets

QQQ & SPY: EMA Snapshot

QQQ remains range‑bound around its flat EMAs (5 = 622.19, 9 = 622.11, 20 = 620.97, 50 = 617.92). From Jan 12 to Jan 16 the ETF traded from 622.31 to 627.17, slipped to 626.24, then fell to 619.55 before stabilizing near 621‑622—signaling

Markets

QQQ & SPY Jan 2026

QQQ is trading above its long‑term EMAs (EMA20 ≈ 620.99, EMA50 ≈ 617.93) but has slipped back toward the tight cluster of EMA5 ≈ 622.24 and EMA9 ≈ 622.14, suggesting a short‑term consolidation after a recent high near 630. The close on Jan 14 at 619.55 fell

Markets

Market Rally Stalls as Volatility Rises

The major indices are showing signs of fatigue after last week's record-breaking rally. QQQ closed Tuesday at 619.55, trading below its short-term EMAs (5-day at 622.44), while SPY settled at 690.36, also underperforming its 5-day EMA of 691.74. VIX has

Markets

CPI at 2.6% for Dec 2025

* The annual core consumer price inflation rate in the United States was 2.6% in December 2025, the lowest since March 2021 and the same as in November. * This 2.6% reading came in slightly below market expectations of 2.7%. * Price increases slowed for used cars and trucks, rising

Markets

QQQ Headwinds

QQQ opened the week at 619.32 on Jan 5, slipped to 617.99, then rallied to 623.63 on Jan 6, 624.19 on Jan 7, retraced to 620.47 on Jan 8, and finished at 626.70 on Jan 9 – a net gain of ~1.5 % over five

Markets

SPY & QQQ EMAs Converging

January 5‑9, 2026 price action shows both SPY and QQQ pushing above their short‑term EMAs. SPY closed each day above EMA5 (690.55) and EMA9 (689.09), hitting a fresh record high of 694.07 on Jan 9. QQQ rose from 617.99 to 626.69, overtaking EMA5

Markets

Market Technicals: QQQ Choppy, SPY Strong

QQQ trades in a 617-627 range with EMAs stacked bullishly (5:622.68 > 9:621.24 > 20:619.57 > 50:616.46), but price hasn't cleared the critical 625.52 breakout level. SPY shows stronger momentum, setting new record highs while EMAs remain in

Markets

US Jobless Claims Edge Higher but Remain Historically Low

* Initial claims rose 8,000 to 208,000 for the week ending January 3rd, just under the 210,000 forecast * Continuing claims climbed 56,000 to 1.914 million, topping expectations of 1.9 million * Pattern suggests employers are slow to hire but also slow to fire, keeping the labor

Markets

QQQ/SPY: Early Jan Tech

The first trading days of 2026 show QQQ drifting lower, closing $613.12 (‑1.73%) on Jan 2 after a narrow range. The ETF remains below its recent peak (~$625) and sits just under the 5‑day EMA at $620.80, indicating a modest bearish bias. EMAs: 5‑day 620.

Markets

The October to January Window: A Historical Warning Sign

The period from October 27th to January 18th is historically the most bullish stretch for the S&P 500. Over the last 75 years, the index has closed higher during this window 66 times (88%).

Markets

QQQ, SPY Dip, VIX Low

The Santa Claus rally fizzled, with QQQ and SPY posting three straight days of declines. Technical snapshot: QQQ closed 613.12 on Jan 2, slipping below its 20‑day EMA (617.15) after briefly trading above it; SPY closed 683.21, falling under its 20‑day EMA (683.87). Both

Markets

QQQ & SPY: 2025 Snapshot

The final week of 2025 saw both QQQ and SPY retreat modestly. QQQ opened at 621.99 on Dec 25, rallied to a high of 624.28, but closed the period at 614.31—a decline of roughly 1.5%. SPY began at 687.95, peaked at 690.83, and

Markets

2025 Market Year-in-Review

Asset ClassTicker2025 ReturnPrecious MetalsGoldGLD+63.4%SilverSLV+141.0%Equities - USS&P 500SPY+15.7%Nasdaq-100QQQ+19.4%Dow JonesDIA+12.2%Russell 2000IWM+10.5%InternationalEAFE (Developed)EFA+26.9%Emerging MarketsEEM+30.7%EuropeVGK+31.6%JapanEWJ+20.3%IndiaINDA+0.7%Bonds20Y+ TreasuryTLT-0.7%

Markets

QQQ, SPY, VIX: Week Wrap

QQQ and SPY closed the week on a bearish note, slipping below their short‑term EMAs after a modest rally. QQQ fell from 623.9 on Dec 25 to 614.3 on Dec 31, slipping under EMA5 (618.36) and EMA9 (618.40) by the final day, while still hovering

Markets

GDP Up, Confidence Down

GDP accelerated to 4.3% in Q3, driven by consumer spending and exports, but inflation rose (PCE 2.8%, Core 2.9%). Consumer confidence fell to 89.1 in December, with present situation sentiment weakening despite stable expectations. Durable goods orders declined (-2.2%) in October, though shipments and core

Markets

Market Consolidation Update

Both QQQ and SPY traded in tight ranges this week as the Santa Claus rally stalled. QQQ settled near 623.93, just above its clustered EMAs (5: 619.64, 9: 619.16, 20: 618.03), indicating sideways consolidation. SPY closed at 686.95, also above its EMAs (5: 686.95,

Markets

QQQ, SPY: EMA Analysis

QQQ’s price action from Dec 23‑29 shows a steady uptrend. The close on Dec 23 (622.11) sits well above the short‑term EMAs (EMA5 620.83, EMA9 619.68) and the longer‑term EMAs (EMA20 618.15, EMA50 614.87). The peak on Dec 24 (623.93)

Markets

2026 Analyst Expectations

Here's a detailed outlook for the market heading into 2026, characterized by high earnings expectations, elevated valuations, and a shift in market leadership. * S&P 500 Price Targets and Expected Returns: Wall Street strategists have set year-end 2026 price targets for the S&P 500

Markets

QQQ, SPY, VIX Tech

QQQ remains below key resistance levels at 627 and 637, despite holding near its EMA5 (~620.9) and EMA9 (~619.1). The price has hovered around these short‑term moving averages for three sessions, suggesting a consolidation phase. EMA20 (~617.5) is now below price, reinforcing a near‑term bullish

Markets

Dec Jobless Claims 👍

US jobless claims fell to their lowest level in nearly a year, beating expectations, while continuing claims edged higher. The data suggests a labor market that's holding steady with modest hiring and firing activity. * Initial jobless claims dropped by 10,000 to 214,000 for the week ending